UCLA vs Washington 10/16/2021

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with UCLA winning 45% of simulations, and Washington 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. UCLA commits fewer turnovers in 28% of simulations and they go on to win 57% when they take care of the ball. Washington wins 67% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Brittain Brown is averaging 82 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 56%. Dylan Morris is averaging 251 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (41% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WAS +1.5 --- Over/Under line is 55.5
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